Republicans have a modest engagement edgeĪbout three-quarters of registered voters who support Republicans (76%), and nearly the same share among those who support Democrats (72%), say it really matters which party wins control of Congress. Non-union members are about evenly divided in their support (40% say they support Democrats, compared with 41% for Republicans). ![]() Union members (also about 10% of voters) are more likely to support Democrats than Republicans (49% vs. Non-veterans are slightly more likely to say they support Democrats than Republicans (43% vs. Military veterans, who represent about one-in-ten voters, support Republicans in their districts over Democrats by two-to-one (56% vs. Those with some college experience but no degree are narrowly divided: 41% support Republicans and 38% back Democrats. By comparison, voters with a high school diploma or less formal education support Republican candidates over Democratic candidates (43% vs. Voters with college degrees favor Democratic candidates over GOP candidates by a sizable margin (51% to 38%). Voters ages 30 to 49 are about evenly split in who they would vote for if the election were held today (41% would vote for a Democrat and 37% a Republican), while more voters ages 50 to 64 would support a Republican (45%) than a Democrat (38%). Conversely, voters ages 65 and older are far more likely to support Republican candidates (50%) than Democratic candidates (38%). Among voters ages 18 to 29, 55% say they prefer the Democrat in their district (21% prefer the Republican). Younger voters continue to be more likely than older voters to back Democratic candidates. More Hispanic voters back Democrats (44%) than Republicans (28%), while 55% of Asian voters support the Democratic candidates in their districts, and 20% support GOP candidates. About seven-in-ten Black voters (69%) support the Democratic candidate just 4% of Black voters back the Republican. See topline for details.)Īmong all registered voters, more men support the Republican candidate (45%) than the Democratic candidate (39%), while women are somewhat more likely to back the Democratic candidate in their district (43%) over the GOP nominee (37%).Ībout half of White voters (49%) say they would back the Republican candidate if the election were held today, while 36% would support the Democratic candidate. (Note: The survey question wording included the specific names of the candidates running in a respondent’s congressional district, which is different than how the question was asked earlier in the cycle. Four-in-ten registered voters currently support or lean toward the Republican candidate in their district, while about the same share back a Democratic candidate (41%) about two-in-ten registered voters either support another candidate (5%) or are not sure (13%). ![]() House are currently closely divided – and a sizable share of voters say they are uncertain of how they would vote if the election were held today.
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